Email conversation
Me: We gonna play a tournament with 10,000 in starting chips?
JJ: Hmm…..why would we do that?
Me: To get you ready for the WSOP! DUH!
JJ: Okay, so are we going to raise the blinds every 100 minutes, invite 8000 more people or what? At what point do we start anteing? Just starting with 10,000 chips isn’t going to get me ready, but hey I appreciate the enthusiasm.
Me: First, we only need to invite 2,000 people. And did I for get to mention that I'll play 1,993 hands.
JJ: Okay, I’ll bite…..how the heck did you come up with 1,993?
Me: It's a complex formula using the inverse cosine of pi divided by the reverse implied odds of the number of times Klotz misdeals or miscalls his own hand.
JJ: Sounds complex. Does that figure take into account rounding? If not, it might not be as accurate as you think.
Me: You are right, I should have said 1,993±. Especially since Vegas has the over/under for Klotz misdeals/miscalls set at 12. I did however do a regression analysis based on Klotz's hand history over the past 3 years incorporating the number of times he doesn't realize its his turn to deal or act. So I'm fairly confident with the number with a margin of error of 0.167496±.
JJ: Hmm…..why would we do that?
Me: To get you ready for the WSOP! DUH!
JJ: Okay, so are we going to raise the blinds every 100 minutes, invite 8000 more people or what? At what point do we start anteing? Just starting with 10,000 chips isn’t going to get me ready, but hey I appreciate the enthusiasm.
Me: First, we only need to invite 2,000 people. And did I for get to mention that I'll play 1,993 hands.
JJ: Okay, I’ll bite…..how the heck did you come up with 1,993?
Me: It's a complex formula using the inverse cosine of pi divided by the reverse implied odds of the number of times Klotz misdeals or miscalls his own hand.
JJ: Sounds complex. Does that figure take into account rounding? If not, it might not be as accurate as you think.
Me: You are right, I should have said 1,993±. Especially since Vegas has the over/under for Klotz misdeals/miscalls set at 12. I did however do a regression analysis based on Klotz's hand history over the past 3 years incorporating the number of times he doesn't realize its his turn to deal or act. So I'm fairly confident with the number with a margin of error of 0.167496±.
posted by BT at 11:31 AM
1 Comments:
haha...you're hilarious...
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